Opportunities in Pause: Where the Fed Could Trigger the Next Move
From gold to sectors and rates, here’s where today’s Fed decision could shake loose opportunity.
Markets are flat—but don’t mistake calm for inaction. With the Fed set to deliver its first rate cut of 2025, a number of asset classes are coiled for potential breakout—or pullback. Either way, opportunity is building.
The S&P 500 (SPY), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Dow (DIA) are all slightly red ahead of the Fed’s rate announcement. Yields are falling—10-year Treasuries are at ~4.01%—and traders are watching closely for dovish language that could signal more easing to come.
Where we see possible opportunity setups:
Gold: The Silent Breakout
Gold recently hit ~$3,700/oz and is holding near record levels. A confirmed rate cut—especially with dovish projections—could drop real yields further and send gold higher. Forecasts from UBS and Deutsche Bank see potential targets as high as $3,800–$4,000 in 2025–2026. For exposure, look at GLD or IAU.
Why Are Famous Billionaires Buying This Gold Miner?
Gold legends-Eric Sprott, Goldcorp founder Rob McEwen, and Kinross founder Bob Buchan-each own a sizable stake in a small Nevada gold miner.
Why?
Because it's already producing gold, has major infrastructure in place, and sits in one of the world's top gold mining regions.
When billionaires get in early, there's a reason.
See why these gold giants are backing a company still trading under $1
Tech & Duration
If yields continue to fall, long-duration assets like mega-cap tech (think MSFT, AAPL, NVDA) could benefit. Watch QQQ and semis.
Cyclicals vs Defensives
A soft-landing signal could rotate capital into cyclicals—industrials, financials, and materials. Consider ETFs like XLI and XLF. If the Fed is more cautious, defensives and cash-flow generators may regain leadership.
Bonds & Yield Curve Plays
The short end of the curve is falling faster than long-end yields. Watch for trades in long-duration Treasuries (e.g. TLT), or spread compression bets across 2s/10s if the Fed leans into easing.
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Bottom Line:
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-Christopher
The Fed is meeting about Trump’s “Smart Dollar.”
This week, investors quietly moved $6.2 billion in a span of 24 hours - likely in anticipation of the next Fed meeting.
At the center of the discussion? President Trump's new "Smart Dollar."
You see, what was once dismissed as too radical is finally being taken seriously at the highest levels of government. Even Jerome Powell's now onboard.
Already, the "Smart Dollar" is moving more money than Visa and Mastercard combined… and it's triggered a $40 billion surge in demand for U.S. Treasury bills.
I believe this could be the biggest financial shift since credit cards started appearing in every American's wallet – and the gains for people who know about it now could be extraordinary.